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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 67% (123 of 184 open) | 60% (38 of 63 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $14K | No $10 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | — | Ben Shelton $3.0K | Carlos Alcaraz $4.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | Over $70 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.0K | Over $756 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: FC Twente (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AFC Ajax | — | FC Twente $675 | AFC Ajax $759 | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $341 | — | Panthers $1.0K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $311K | No $40K | — |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $114K | Yes $16K | — |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sunderland AFC | — | Sunderland AFC $47K | Sunderland AFC $4.7K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $5.9K | Toby Samuel $31K | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $20K | No $10K | — |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | Under $12K | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $12K | Yes $5.6K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $7.6K | No $857 | — |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.3K | No $349 | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5.2K | Over $675 | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $2.9K | No $2.4K | — |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.8K | Over $81 | — |
| AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $766 | Over $912 | — |
| Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | No $21 | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $840 | Yes $580 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 | — |
| Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $40 | Yes $9 | — |