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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (951–992, n=1943)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #612
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)70% (192 of 274 open)no open consensus position52% (54 of 104 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13K—No $65
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—No $586
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7K—No $5
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $599—Over $92
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $401—Over $9
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $363—Over $36
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4—No $318
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $306—No $1
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $259—Under $26
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $205—Over $60
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $211—Canadiens $2
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $90—Ryan Nijboer $27
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108—Under $4
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
—Yara Bartashevich $74—Dasha Ivanova $11
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $3—FK Kauno Žalgiris $59
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40—No $10
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $28
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12—Over $7
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—No $13
W15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Jantje Tilbuerger vs Jensen Diianni
opposite sides · consensus Jantje Tilbuerger
—Jantje Tilbuerger $4—Jensen Diianni $1
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2K—No $308
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2K—No $4.2K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $3.9K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $1.8K
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $4.0K—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $218
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $2.7K—Jurij Rodionov $889
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.6K—No $24
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.2K—No $2.0K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $875—No $1.1K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $277
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $7
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $747—Under $124
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $686—No $4
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $601—No $8
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
—Leolia Jeanjean $134—Leolia Jeanjean $463
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—KKS Lech Poznań $322—KKS Lech Poznań $174
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $412—No $72
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
—HNK Hajduk Split $315—HNK Hajduk Split $63
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $324—No $13
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Qairat FK
—Qairat FK $261—Qairat FK $62
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
—HNK Hajduk Split $296—HNK Hajduk Split $13
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $145—No $149
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $269—Over $18
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $56—No $226
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $267—No $12
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270—Over $6
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $183—Under $88
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $225—Yes $4
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $117—No $106
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $172—No $49