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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | tugator | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 13% (33–224, n=257) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $75K | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #643 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 65% (99 of 152 open) | 79% (73 of 92 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 28% of 228 at avg 56¢, ROI −27% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 4% (won 0% of 8) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 73% (won 10% of 167) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 5% (won 36% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 100% of 42) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | tugator | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $10 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $757 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $561 | — | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $64 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $328 | — | Yes $6 |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $117 | — | Over $54 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $42 | — | No $50 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Under $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | No $104 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $814 | — | Yes $290 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $7 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $801 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $406 | — | Under $595 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $872 |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | — | No $234 | — | No $47 |
| Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $38 | — | No $212 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $135 | — | Yes $95 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $93 | — | Yes $72 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $129 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $7 | — | No $23 |
| Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $18 | — | No $6 |