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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankch27erFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)51% (33–32, n=65)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$27K$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)33% (1 of 3 open)66% (131 of 198 open)57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=19, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%97% of 31 at avg 55¢, ROI +42%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 100% of 6)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)81% (won 96% of 25)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankch27erFlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Ben Shelton $4.8KBen Shelton $2.2KCarlos Alcaraz $3.3K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20KYes $80KYes $12K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $19KNo $41K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
——Alexandra Eala $6.8KClaire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
——Alexander Shevchenko $1.8KJacob Fearnley $8.9K
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $8.4KYes $5
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.4KOver $586
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
——Borna Gojo $4.0KNikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.0KNo $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.5KUnder $152
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KOver $987
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.0KOver $80
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
——Sunderland AFC $41KSunderland AFC $4.7K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $12K
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $6.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.8KNo $6.8K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.2KNo $7.1K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7.1KYes $5.6K
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $9.6KNo $429
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.5KOver $712
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $827Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
——No $470No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $51Over $29