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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 45% (101–124, n=225) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $14.8M | $24K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #721 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (235 of 313 open) | 56% (75 of 134 open) | 17% (1 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
60 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $51K | No $4.8K | Yes $10 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $252 | No $15 | Yes $9 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $59K | Yes $13K | Yes $606 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.9K | No $3.7K | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $11K | Over $53 | — |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $8.9K | Yes $168 | — |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.7K | Yes $4.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $835 | No $5.2K | — |
| KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | Under $5 | — |
| Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.3K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | Under $2.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | Yes $1 | — |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.9K | No $336 | — |
| Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.1K | Yes $128 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $845 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $6 | — |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $3.1K | Manchester United FC $42 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.8K | Under $5 | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.7K | Under $25 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.0K | Over $205 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $5 | — |
| Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Over $150 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | Yes $54 | — |
| Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $64 | No $1.2K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | Under $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $742 | — | Yes $10 |
| Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $444 | Yes $36 | — |
| Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV? opposite sides · consensus No | No $438 | Yes $2 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | No $354 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $234 | Yes $45 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $88 | Yes $47 | — |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $40 | Under $7 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | Yes $1 | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $39K | No $13K | — |
| Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Justin Boulais | Justin Boulais $4.3K | Justin Boulais $37K | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $26K | No $8.7K | — |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $18K | Aston Villa FC $1.0K | — |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $6.1K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $12K | Over $4.3K | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $13K | Over $1.9K | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.0K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.1K | Yes $1.5K | — |