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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpgoogleplayRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)50% (58–57, n=115)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$469K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #16PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus74% (118 of 159 open)no open consensus position53% (30 of 57 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +31 pts n=59, ROI +32%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 68 at avg 54¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)75% (won 84% of 51)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)9% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $138—Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42Under $796
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Thiago Monteiro $3.6K—Marco Cecchinato $32K—
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $28K—Yes $11—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K—No $9—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1K—No $104—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Under $236—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Will Rubio Nu win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $885—Yes $99—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $886—Under $81—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $789—Yes $16—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $208—Ipek Oz $494—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $318—No $359—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $79—Warriors $505—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440—Warriors $109—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40—No $182—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $141—Over $69—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $3
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $104—Over $18—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25—Yes $2—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $29K—SE Palmeiras $14K—
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $4.6K—Alice Tubello $17K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $15K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5.7K—No $145—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3K—Over $411—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
SE Palmeiras $2.8K—SE Palmeiras $665—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.9K—Over $198—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Over $751—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Over $826—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $337——Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Over $8