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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphgawxRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (58–78, n=136)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$21K$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #997PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus69% (96 of 139 open)0% (0 of 1 open)55% (36 of 66 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%79% of 68 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 79% of 38)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)43% (won 79% of 29)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)1% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphgawxRN1S-Works
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $499Mavericks $2.9KNets $144—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $121—Seahawks $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $148—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K—No $153—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $756—Pistons $307—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $7—Richmond Spiders $268—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $29—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $2—
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $55K—No $3.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $6.1K—Lakers $84—
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $3.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.4K—Lakers $613—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.0K—Lakers $569—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Mavericks $884—Mavericks $228—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $308—Lakers $484—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612—Pistons $55—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
same side · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
Bakersfield Roadrunners $68—Bakersfield Roadrunners $267—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $26—