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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1TunSahur
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus63% (196 of 309 open)no open consensus position67% (113 of 168 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1TunSahur
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
Maria Sakkari $3.0K—Maya Joint $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K—No $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $210—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210—No $663—
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Tena Lukas $2—Pia Lovric $250—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47—Over $48—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $20K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K—Under $45—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Learner Tien $11K—Learner Tien $16K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1K—Over $7.8K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.2K—Under $1.5K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K—No $1.5K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
Jeline Vandromme $4.3K—Jeline Vandromme $679—
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $2.1K—Samuele Pieri $1.6K—
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
Gina Feistel $1.6K—Gina Feistel $1.7K—
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
Martyna Kubka $190—Martyna Kubka $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
Tomas Curras Abasolo $120—Tomas Curras Abasolo $929—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $784—76ers $243—
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
Henri Haupt $864—Henri Haupt $54—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
Iliyan Radulov $139—Iliyan Radulov $612—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $645—Under $56—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $505—Over $164—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
Ignacio Parisca $320—Ignacio Parisca $302—
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $140—Leonid Sheyngezikht $384—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
Pavlos Tsitsipas $456—Pavlos Tsitsipas $11—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239—Under $46—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $209—Wizards $22—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
same side · consensus Lisa Pigato
Gaia Maduzzi $72—Gaia Maduzzi $56—
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Elena Ruxandra Bertea $16—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $83—
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
Jeremy Gschwendtner $31—Jeremy Gschwendtner $56—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28—