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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1thatsabing0
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)63% (1095–631, n=1726)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #118PM monthly #34 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus75% (231 of 309 open)71% (70 of 98 open)53% (76 of 144 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1thatsabing0
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $41Yes $97—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $34—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.7K—Yes $4.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $781—No $5.2K—
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Under $2—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $2.3K—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1—
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.9K—Yes $128—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $5—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K—Under $22—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $431—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $56—
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $5—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $6—
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $961—Over $150—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $40—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24—No $752—
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $444—Yes $36—
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $438—Yes $2—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $65—No $293—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $233—Yes $45—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $90—Yes $37—
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $42—PSV $67—
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $92—Over $1—
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $44—Under $6—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $1—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $56K—No $24K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $59K—Yes $12K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $51K—No $4.8K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $38K—No $13K—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $4.5K—Justin Boulais $38K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $8.7K—
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $16K—Aston Villa FC $861—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.7K—Yes $6.3K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $4.1K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $13K—Over $275—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.3K—Yes $2.0K—
Will PSV win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.1K—Yes $1.4K—
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Groningen
FC Groningen $4.3K—FC Groningen $6.1K—
Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.2K—Yes $5.8K—