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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)86% (1795–294, n=2089)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.6M$14.9M$89K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus63% (99 of 157 open)71% (67 of 94 open)50% (20 of 40 open)92% (48 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1959 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)13% (won 9% of 255)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)6% (won 57% of 111)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)77% (won 97% of 1502)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1xxNyx
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Max Houkes
Tom Gentzsch $3.7K—Max Houkes $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $213——Yes $1.0K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $336—Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $197—Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $155—Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162—Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—