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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SnapElectionAvoiderBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (905–844, n=1749)45% (535–643, n=1178)48% (12851–13947, n=26798)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$207K$10.6M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #391 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus66% (85 of 128 open)71% (83 of 117 open)63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −26 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won53% of 1671 at avg 48¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 14% of 706)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 45% of 162)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 69% of 177)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 94% of 626)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSnapElectionAvoiderBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $972Yes $55K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $35Yes $26K——
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $928Yes $24K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $517Yes $18K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $194Yes $18K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $326Yes $16K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $392Yes $15K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $649Yes $14K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $417Yes $13K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $44Yes $13K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $107Yes $13K——
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $790Yes $12K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $694Yes $11K——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $338Yes $11K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $644Yes $10K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $140Yes $11K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $464Yes $9.3K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $393Yes $8.6K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $314Yes $8.6K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $393Yes $7.9K——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $356Yes $7.2K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $271Yes $6.4K——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $185Yes $6.4K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $307Yes $5.7K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $326Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $325Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $274Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $216Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $214Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $207Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $162Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $142Yes $4.4K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $194Yes $3.6K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $81Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $79Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $75Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $72Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $760——
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $422Yes $129——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $306Yes $77——
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $130Yes $31——
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
same side · consensus No
Yes $52Yes $61——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21Yes $47——