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PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WarriorHjoseph00677BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)11% (424–3382, n=3806)50% (10–10, n=20)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$174K$5.3M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus84% (163 of 193 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won——97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢——10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢——36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢——35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up——19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

108 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWarriorHjoseph00677BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70—Yes $69K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27—Yes $52K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $412—No $30K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $520—Yes $29K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17—Yes $22K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13—Yes $17K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $17K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11—Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11—Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9—Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2—Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $7.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6—Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5—Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3—Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4—Yes $5.0K