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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| balthazar | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (9273–8029, n=17302) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (165 of 271 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 14708 at avg 60¢, ROI +14% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 20% of 4153) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 82% of 941) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 96% of 2101) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 99% of 7513) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.