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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpRN1whig
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)62% (420–255, n=675)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$14.8M$354K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (143 of 193 open)58% (90 of 155 open)78% (49 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Finance −7 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)45% (won 13% of 282)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 43% of 111)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 80% of 81)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)25% (won 95% of 158)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1whig
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $33KNo $558—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17KNo $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12KUnder $670—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $10KUnder $2—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.1KYes $643—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $6.8KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $4.5KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $152—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $299Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K—
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $419—Yes $968
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $757Under $206—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $284No $11—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $200Under $46—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $109KNo $33K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $26KNo $21K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.0KOver $27K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18KUnder $12K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $16K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $10K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $14K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13KClub Atlético de Madrid $1.4K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $2.9K—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $4.4K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0KNo $2.8K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6.0KNo $5—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.9KYes $1.7K—
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $546—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.8KOver $958—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $345—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk
—Marta Kostyuk $309Marta Kostyuk $3.2K—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $2.8KAndres Martin $22—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820No $1.6K—
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
—Boise State Broncos $1.3KBoise State Broncos $929—
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $234—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
same side · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $907Western Michigan Broncos $732—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $96—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $713Under $468—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $79776ers $371—