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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)63% (990–573, n=1563)53% (2449–2166, n=4615)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$3.2M$18K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24PM monthly #103was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (176 of 238 open)68% (106 of 155 open)65% (46 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 321)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 507)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 138)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1rayvanmechelen
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $3.7K—Tiphanie Lemaitre $5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $765—Over $7
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $49—Yes $198
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $164—RSC Anderlecht $33
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $183—Under $10
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166—Under $3
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $151—No $10
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $129—Under $20
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—SD Eibar $6
Spread: K. Sint-Truidense VV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus K. Sint-Truidense VV
—K. Sint-Truidense VV $52—SK Brann $8
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $26—Under $6
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8—Under $3
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $3—Vaishnavi Adkar $4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.7K—Yes $9
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $14
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $21
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $975—No $981
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.4K—Over $9
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $1.3K—Sorana Cirstea $10
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $11
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $5
Will North East United FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $372—Yes $631
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $893—No $80
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $597—No $374
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865—No $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $307
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $696—Sydney FC $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $576—No $9
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $514—Over $10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $441—No $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $438—Lorenzo Musetti $10
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $399—No $10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $297—No $7
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $294—No $10
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Filip Misolic $225—Filip Misolic $10
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
—Leolia Jeanjean $134—Leolia Jeanjean $9
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $117—No $13
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $114—Daniel Milavsky $9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $119—No $1
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $91—Under $5
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $50—No $2
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $16—Under $19
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9—Under $7