Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (15020–15050, n=30070)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)50% (19547–19609, n=39156)
Consensus PnL—$3.0M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (94 of 146 open)54% (19 of 35 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4omnibus-076daaRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $943Under $21K
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
—Oksana Selekhmeteva $6.4KPolina Kudermetova $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $51
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10—No $1.2K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73No $662—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $90No $139
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $62Katie Boulter $26K—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $148—No $26K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $6.0K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $42—Yes $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $931
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Frances Tiafoe
—Quentin Halys $262Quentin Halys $1.1K—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $236No $115—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $213—No $42
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $56Under $44
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38—Yes $3
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Deborah Chiesa $19Deborah Chiesa $17—
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
—Lukas Pokorny $5—Lukas Pokorny $4