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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
deltasniperFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (217–159, n=376)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$49K$1.4M$3.2M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (42 of 56 open)65% (107 of 165 open)no open consensus position49% (21 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=150NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won57% of 371 at avg 57¢, ROI −2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 13% of 101)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 27% of 48)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 64% of 67)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 91% of 155)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdeltasniperFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $327—Luca Nardi $865
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover
—Carlos Sanchez Jover $696—Santiago De la Fuente $136
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183—Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $77—Juan Sebastian Gomez $4
Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
—Ryo Tabata $513—Ryo Tabata $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
same side · consensus Lui Maxted
—Lui Maxted $1.7K—Lui Maxted $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $780—Andres Martin $303
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166—Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Lakers $187—Lakers $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Lucas Poullain
—Calvin Hemery $192—Calvin Hemery $35
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51—Over $29