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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | GingerMcKenna | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3351, n=7824) | 53% (5923–5296, n=11219) | 29% (1469–3514, n=4983) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $33K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #21 | was PM monthly #404 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 63% (215 of 342 open) | 80% (151 of 188 open) | 65% (116 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Tech −3 pts, n=329 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 59% (won 2% of 1618) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 4% (won 28% of 100) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 4% (won 75% of 106) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 34% (won 98% of 919) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | GingerMcKenna | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | Tomas Etcheverry $13K | Alex de Minaur $7.4K | — | Tomas Etcheverry $56K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $3.9K | — | No $223 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | No $143 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $4.7K | — | Joanna Garland $5.3K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.1K | — | No $3.3K |
| Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone | — | Franco Agamenone $218 | — | Ignacio Monzon $5.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | — | Over $37 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $863 | — | Yes $265 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $342 | — | No $773 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $210 | — | No $663 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $223 | — | Hawks $406 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $353 | — | — | Under $31 |
| W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | — | Tena Lukas $2 | — | Pia Lovric $250 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $125 | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $26 | — | No $23 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | Lorenzo Musetti $20K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $53K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $39K | — | Under $45 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | No $893 | — |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.1K | — | Over $7.8K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata same side · consensus Novak Djokovic | — | Novak Djokovic $3.1K | — | Novak Djokovic $9.8K |
| Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci same side · consensus Matej Dodig | — | Matej Dodig $3.0K | — | Matej Dodig $9.6K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | Olympiakós SFP $11K | — | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $7.7K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.1K | — | No $1.5K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Under $464 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | No $727 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $784 | — | 76ers $243 |
| M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot | — | Henri Haupt $868 | — | Henri Haupt $54 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $638 | — | Over $283 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov | — | Iliyan Radulov $139 | — | Iliyan Radulov $612 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Under $20 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $645 | — | Under $56 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | — | Over $164 |
| M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca | — | Ignacio Parisca $320 | — | Ignacio Parisca $302 |
| W75 Petange: Julia Avdeeva vs Lisa Zaar same side · consensus Julia Avdeeva | — | Julia Avdeeva $450 | — | Julia Avdeeva $25 |
| W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk same side · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez | — | Carlota Martinez Cirez $381 | — | Carlota Martinez Cirez $42 |
| M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo | — | Tomas Curras Abasolo $17 | — | Tomas Curras Abasolo $319 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $167 | — | Under $121 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | — | Under $46 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $39 | — | Under $243 |