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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)83% (5436–1150, n=6586)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$47K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #516PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)69% (136 of 198 open)67% (55 of 82 open)62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpNM-Pprimm
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36KJaguars $266Jaguars $1.8K—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $21KNo $439—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K—Jaguars $320—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K—Florida Atlantic $210—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7KYes $32—
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6KYes $106—
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $24—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $55—
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $915Under $27—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $409Notre Dame $358—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $614No $144—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $37—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $398—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300Panthers $154—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $78—Florida Atlantic $24K
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KUtah $443——
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $1.3K——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $753—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $886—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $573James Madison $2.2K
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $194—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $184—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $489—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $20—
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2KMagic $412——
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $144—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $7—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $681Aliaksandra Sasnovich $357—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
—Tommy Paul $45Tommy Paul $972—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $454—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $734No $68—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $547No $203—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $413—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $512No $3—
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $144Warriors $324—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $91No $326—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $79Heat $240—
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $194Heat $54—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 36.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $190Under $8
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $168—