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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026EgorkasxxFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6671, n=10316)no settled market52% (6492–5998, n=12490)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)
Consensus PnL$3.0M—$3.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #478—PM monthly #24PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus67% (14 of 21 open)no open consensus position72% (184 of 254 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢——16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up——39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026EgorkasxxFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6KNo $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9Under $5.2K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
opposite sides · consensus Maxim Mrva
Thomas Faurel $1.8K—Maxim Mrva $2.5K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $776—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $422Under $768
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Adrian Andreev $3—Matteo Martineau $1.0K—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495—Olympique de Marseille $470—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $548Yes $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Athletic Club $345
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $116No $289
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $280Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $103Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $125Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $109Yes $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.1K—Coleman Wong $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21——Yes $3.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.2KNo $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $154
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $411Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $746Yes $270
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $831No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $791
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $650—Sorana Cirstea $273—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $352—Lorenzo Musetti $438—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $70—Remy Bertola $231—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
——No $206No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $135Yes $95
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $178—Afghanistan Under-19s $5—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $125—Lumbini Lions $56—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $102Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $6No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $12