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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BlackMamba08Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (35–33, n=68)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$21$61K—-$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #907PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus47% (43 of 92 open)70% (154 of 221 open)no open consensus position45% (40 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢——8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢——8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢——69% (won 67% of 9)—
Entries 70¢ and up——15% (won 100% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBlackMamba08Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Nuggets $3.1K—Rockets $2.5K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $132—Nuggets $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $12
CS 2 de Mayo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $33
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $445—Under $1.4K
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $39No $1.4K——
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29No $1.3K——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14——No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $836—Yes $60
Pelicans vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $667—Warriors $213
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $95—Rockets $686
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $769——
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $689—Rockets $24
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6Yes $686——
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $362No $328——
Exact Score: FK Livyi Bereh 0 - 0 FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $400No $176——
Exact Score: Sportivo Luqueno 2 - 2 CS 2 de Mayo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1—No $539
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3Over $523——
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Duncan Chan
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
—Liam Draxl $438—Duncan Chan $70
Will Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $341——
Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $238No $95——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1No $134——
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $132——
Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $122—Over $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7Under $105——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $93——
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7No $67——
Bromley FC vs. Notts County FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Under $55——
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $12K—Aryna Sabalenka $84K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
same side · consensus Nicolas Mejia
—Nicolas Mejia $1.5K—Nicolas Mejia $12K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Knoxville: Trevor Svajda vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $504—Max Hans Rehberg $6.1K
Will Sportivo Luqueno vs. CS 2 de Mayo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $295
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $619—Rockets $2.7K
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $255—Pelicans $2.6K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $2.0K—Raptors $129
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Pelicans $1.6K—Pelicans $128
Lima: Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha
same side · consensus Henrique Rocha
—Henrique Rocha $472—Henrique Rocha $1.2K
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $844—Over $394
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $94—Under $1.1K
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $427—Raptors $637