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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TSFSYD
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)28% (35–91, n=126)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$14.8M$39K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #36 + pinnedPM monthly #523
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)72% (186 of 259 open)56% (64 of 114 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +12 pts n=14, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tennis −12 pts, n=83
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%26% of 121 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)64% (won 3% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)13% (won 25% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)16% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1TSFSYD
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6KNo $500
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Bayern München
—1. FSV Mainz 05 $11KFC Bayern München $1.8K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.6KYes $1.2K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5.2KUnder $19—
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $981Yes $4.2K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KUnder $19—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.0KNo $48—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $368Under $1.7K—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $67Over $1.8K—
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $57Yes $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $406Over $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $774Jan Simonsson $7—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15Under $282—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $210Yes $1—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $38—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $83Under $88—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $140—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $136Under $6—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $115Under $11—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19Yes $50—
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $8—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $123KNo $35K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $69KYes $14K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $47KYes $23K—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $46KYes $17K—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $53KNo $4.4K—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $2.1K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.5KNo $8.7K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.5K—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $9.2K—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $4.3K—
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9.0KYes $224—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6.3KOver $712
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $2.7K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.3KUnder $703—
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $754No $1.9K—
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $612No $1.7K—
Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $40—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.0KUnder $14—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $406—