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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)no settled market50% (15178–15196, n=30374)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22—PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)65% (162 of 248 open)no open consensus position51% (62 of 121 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaomnibus-076daa
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $761—Pelicans $4
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $75K——Pelicans $508
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K——Pelicans $3
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.8K—Yes $1.1K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9K—No $51
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Over $13
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $10
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $149
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $486—Yes $358
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $514—Under $207
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Mika Stojsavljevic
—Mika Stojsavljevic $36—Zeynep Sonmez $457
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197—Over $166
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $270—Yes $71
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $90—Yes $214
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297—No $7
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Timberwolves $172—Rockets $60
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $188—Suns $2
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143—Over $28
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Charles Broom
—Alexandre Muller $21—Charles Broom $129
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $136—Yes $3
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $99—Yes $23
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2—Tiphanie Lemaitre $98
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $53—Under $42
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Ontario Reign
opposite sides · consensus San Jose Barracuda
—San Jose Barracuda $15—Ontario Reign $56
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21K——Yes $113
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——Yes $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $1.6K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8K—No $9.9K
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.4K—Under $96
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5K—No $177
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $432
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K——Yes $69
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
—Kings $1.4K—Kings $424
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.2K—Lakers $619
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $69—Giannicola Misasi $1.7K
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $961—Spurs $715
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $69
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.1K—No $119
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $59
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $642—Yes $203
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $732—No $6
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
—Xinyu Wang $218—Xinyu Wang $512
W35 Hamamatsu: Maiko Uchijima vs Koharu Ito
same side · consensus Maiko Uchijima
—Koharu Ito $559—Koharu Ito $87
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $446—No $19
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $153—No $291
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $351—Energetik Mingechevir $2
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30—No $303
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $227—Under $28