Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgoogleplayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)50% (58–57, n=115)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$469K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)72% (190 of 264 open)no open consensus position67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +31 pts n=59, ROI +32%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 68 at avg 54¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0%7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 73% of 11)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)75% (won 84% of 51)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)9% (won 100% of 6)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgoogleplayUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.6K—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $422—Under $768
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $345
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116—No $289
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103—Over $54
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $125—Yes $3
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $109—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $104
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $154
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $411—Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $746—Yes $270
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $831—No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $791
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $206—No $42
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $135—Yes $95
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $102—Yes $79
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7—Under $12