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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daayoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)85% (5238–893, n=6131)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$3.1M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #59PM monthly #671
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)67% (175 of 263 open)50% (62 of 124 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)8% (won 60% of 874)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 87% of 2384)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 95% of 4296)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 99% of 3716)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpomnibus-076daayoucanbuythisbot
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $218KPacers $6.0KGrizzlies $2—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $75K—Pelicans $508—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $3—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $4—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $2.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357Pacers $1.5K——
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $13—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $10—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KUnder $10—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $486Yes $358—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $514Under $207—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
opposite sides · consensus Mika Stojsavljevic
—Mika Stojsavljevic $36Zeynep Sonmez $457—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Sport Boys Association end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $350Yes $23—
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $197Over $166—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $270Yes $71—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $90Yes $214—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $297No $7—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $188Suns $2—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $143Over $28—
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
opposite sides · consensus Charles Broom
—Alexandre Muller $22Charles Broom $129—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $136Yes $3—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
—Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $98—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $53Under $42—
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Ontario Reign
opposite sides · consensus San Jose Barracuda
—San Jose Barracuda $15Ontario Reign $56—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21K—Yes $113—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $9.9K—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Pacers $7.4KPacers $170—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5KNo $177—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KUnder $96—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.5KYes $432—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $69—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.2KLakers $619—
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
same side · consensus Giannicola Misasi
—Giannicola Misasi $69Giannicola Misasi $1.7K—
Lakers vs. Kings
same side · consensus Lakers
—Kings $1.3KKings $424—
Mavericks vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $962Spurs $715—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $69—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $1.1KNo $119—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $642Yes $203—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $732No $6—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
—Xinyu Wang $218Xinyu Wang $512—
W35 Hamamatsu: Maiko Uchijima vs Koharu Ito
same side · consensus Maiko Uchijima
—Koharu Ito $417Koharu Ito $87—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $446No $19—
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $153No $291—
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $351Energetik Mingechevir $2—
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $30No $303—
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $196Under $28—