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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (80–105, n=185) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $167K | $4.1M | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #778 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #55 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 69% (102 of 148 open) | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 88% (7 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=14 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 175 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 21% of 38) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 53% of 68) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 52% of 64) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 80% of 5) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | T1 $21K | T1 $5 | — | Bilibili Gaming $23K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Jazz $1.1K | Timberwolves $30K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Nets $60 | Mavericks $7.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K | — |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.5K | No $153 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $796 | Pistons $307 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 | — |
| North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | — | North Dakota State Bison $100 | Bakersfield Roadrunners $399 | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Dominko | — | Sebastian Dominko $242 | Patrick Zahraj $147 | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $243 | Under $110 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $134 | Mavericks $216 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Over $29 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | Coco Gauff $58K | — |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $53K | No $5.6K | — |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $9.8K | No $12K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $6.6K | Lakers $152 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $4.5K | Lakers $569 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $3.8K | Lakers $722 | — |
| Will Club Blooming win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | No $282 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $355 | Lakers $484 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $612 | Pistons $150 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $303 | Mavericks $192 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | Under $41 | — |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Kaylan Bigun | — | Giles Hussey $22 | Giles Hussey $21 | — |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | No $26 | — |