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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1537–2179, n=3716) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $30K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #804 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 74% (135 of 183 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 55% (87 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | 76ers $12K | Bulls $2.0K | — | Bulls $71 |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $320 | — | Rams $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $12K | — | Under $88 |
| Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $6.9K | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.3K | — | Yes $614 |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $7.2K | — | Olympique de Marseille $1 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona | — | FC Barcelona $7.0K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $644 | — | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $420 |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | — | Calvin Hemery $969 | — | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $346 | — | Over $124 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $439 | — | Over $5 |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $100 | — | Over $308 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | — | Under $7 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $153 | — | Bulls $106 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $137 | — | Under $121 |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Mitchell Krueger $108 | — | Samir Banerjee $1 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $112K | — | No $54K |
| Broncos vs. Panthers same side · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $1.4K | — | Broncos $46K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | — | No $18K |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.4K | — | Chiefs $13K |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $14K | — | Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $13K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $10K | — | Yes $3.4K |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.7K | — | No $5.8K |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.8K | — | No $2.7K |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.7K | — | No $1.7K |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $7.8K | — | No $5 |
| Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.5K | — | No $439 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $215 | — | No $4.4K |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | — | No $626 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $3.2K | — | Over $847 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $214 | — | No $3.2K |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $366 | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.5K | — | Yes $234 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona? same side · consensus No | — | No $820 | — | No $1.6K |
| Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos same side · consensus Boise State Broncos | — | Boise State Broncos $1.4K | — | Boise State Broncos $929 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Under $20 |