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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHaradwaithomnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)41% (3263–4725, n=7988)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$3.3M-$460K$3.0M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #255PM monthly #56PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus64% (237 of 371 open)72% (554 of 773 open)56% (102 of 183 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)53% (won 3% of 2055)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)4% (won 35% of 170)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)5% (won 54% of 178)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 89% of 1442)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHaradwaithomnibus-076daaprimm
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $43K—Yes $508—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K—Yes $5—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—Ugo Humbert $901—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $3.5K—Tomas Machac $3.1K—
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.6K—No $55—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Under $2.2K—
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.9K—No $565—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K—Yes $5—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $822Yes $1.8K—
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $2.0K—Lukas Pokorny $100—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $59—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K—Yes $10—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $367—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $50—Yes $1.0K—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
Ignacio Parisca $298—Eric Vanshelboim $653—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89—Yes $691—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $509—Under $196—
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $661—Over $2—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $504—Grizzlies $3—
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $387—Yes $23—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $400—Yes $4—
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $246Yes $117—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $339—Over $13—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $176Yes $149—
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin
Oceane Dodin $281—Eva Bennemann $42—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $297—No $8—
W15 Monastir: Serena Paris vs Sara Husar
opposite sides · consensus Sara Husar
Serena Paris $4—Sara Husar $274—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $12—Thunder $260—
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $190—Sabres $15—
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CR Flamengo
CR Flamengo $194—Grêmio FBPA $4—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $143—Over $28—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137—Yes $6—
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs your end (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus your end
your end $15—Grêmio Esports $90—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $52—Under $43—
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC $62—Middlesbrough FC $13—
M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Liam Krall vs Henry Lieberman
opposite sides · consensus Henry Lieberman
Liam Krall $6—Henry Lieberman $41—
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $20Yes $9—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $1.6K—
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
Nicolas Kicker $11K—Nicolas Kicker $766—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $104—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.1K—Over $786—
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.7K—Yes $7—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.8K—Under $61—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.2K—Under $100—
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.8K—Under $13—
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.0K—No $6—
Will Al-Taawoun FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6K—Yes $2.0K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.5K—Yes $648—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $429Yes $2.1K—