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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLlamaEnjoyerRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)87% (2687–402, n=3089)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10Hand-pickedPM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (229 of 300 open)100% (4 of 4 open)52% (69 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +3 pts n=619, ROI +6%
  • MMA +2 pts n=210, ROI +4%
  • NFL +3 pts n=187, ROI 0%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 2539 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 19% of 149)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)2% (won 62% of 58)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)2% (won 83% of 46)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)90% (won 100% of 2286)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLlamaEnjoyerRN1
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $12K—No $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $6
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $80
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $8.9K—Yes $179
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin $8.5K—SC Freiburg $2
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $826—No $5.2K
Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6K—Yes $1.9K
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8K—No $336
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K—Under $2.3K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $4.8K—Manchester United FC $12
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K—Under $25
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.3K—Over $205
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K—Yes $930
Will FC Salzburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $114
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Over $150
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $154
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $5
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $440—Yes $18
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $178—Yes $31
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $35—Under $8
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20—Yes $1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $63K—No $16K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $60K—Yes $13K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $51K—No $4.8K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $39K—No $13K
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $3.9K—Justin Boulais $37K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $28K—No $8.7K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC $19K—Aston Villa FC $1.1K
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—Yes $6.2K
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $12K—No $5.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $4.3K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $13K—Over $1.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K—No $7.8K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $52
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.0K—Yes $1.9K
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K—No $3.0K