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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | LlamaEnjoyer | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 87% (2687–402, n=3089) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$3.2M | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (181 of 241 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 57% (65 of 114 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 2539 at avg 91¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 6% (won 19% of 149) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 2% (won 62% of 58) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 2% (won 83% of 46) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 90% (won 100% of 2286) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | LlamaEnjoyer | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $450K | — | No $1.2M |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $232 | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $7 | — |
| Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FC Union Berlin $7.3K | — | SC Freiburg $2.9K | — |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.9K | — | Yes $5.3K | — |
| KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.3K | — | Under $4 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $826 | — | No $5.2K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | — | Under $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $4.8K | — | Manchester United FC $12 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $845 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.8K | — | Under $5 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | Yes $105 | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | Dolphins $165 | — | Lions $2.1K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | Yes $255 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $190 | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $139 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers $777 | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $295 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | Princeton Tigers $345 | — | Siena Saints $135 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $440 | — | Yes $18 | — |
| Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $363 | — | Yes $28 | — |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $35 | — | Under $8 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $20 | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $63K | — | No $55K | — |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $66K | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $55K | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $39K | — | No $21K | — |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $54K | — | No $4.8K | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $17K | — | No $8.7K | — |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $11K | — |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Aston Villa FC | Aston Villa FC $19K | — | Aston Villa FC $1.1K | — |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17K | — | Under $402 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | Over $4.3K | — |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $8.6K | — | No $3.6K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar same side · consensus Jaume Munar | Jaume Munar $1.2K | — | Jaume Munar $7.1K | — |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $3.2K | — |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $7.4K | — | No $176 | — |
| Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Justin Boulais | Justin Boulais $1.7K | — | Justin Boulais $5.5K | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.0K | — | Over $250 | — |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | — | Over $5.2K | — |
| Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.8K | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $3.0K | — |