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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 63% (115–69, n=184) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $5.3M | $14.8M | -$46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (131 of 186 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 61% (43 of 70 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | No $376K | Yes $2.1M | No $54K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $26K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.9K | — | No $3.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.4K | — | Over $16 | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.9K | — | Yes $172 | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.0K | — | Over $972 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | Yes $32 | — |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $341 | — | — | Panthers $1.0K |
| Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chelsea FC | Chelsea FC $1.3K | — | Sunderland AFC $3 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $851 | — | Yes $326 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116K | — | Yes $16K | — |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sunderland AFC | Sunderland AFC $50K | — | Sunderland AFC $4.7K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel $5.9K | — | Toby Samuel $31K | — |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $14K | — |
| CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Under $12K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $11K | — | Carlos Alcaraz $12K | — |
| Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Under $8.8K | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | No $15K | — | No $4.7K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Will AC Monza win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $9.4K | — | No $652 | — |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6.7K | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | No $3.9K | — |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $5.3K | — | No $475 | — |
| Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.3K | — | Under $903 | — |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | No $25 | — |
| AC Monza vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $766 | — | Over $912 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | Over $29 | — |
| Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $40 | — | Yes $5 | — |