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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)59% (1409–963, n=2372)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$14.9M-$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #785
Sides with the consensus64% (104 of 162 open)no open consensus position51% (22 of 43 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12——Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1whosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $131——Yes $4.5K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch $3.2K—Max Houkes $947—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $137——No $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $39——Yes $810
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $659——No $5
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
Luka Mikrut $621—Sandro Kopp $6—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $6——Yes $349
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $55——Yes $142
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2——Yes $18
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $1.5K—Filip Misolic $252—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $338—Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $197—Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $155—Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162—Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—