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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpl..messiprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)57% (1110–846, n=1956)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$84K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16was PM monthly #787PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (85 of 114 open)50% (1 of 2 open)83% (10 of 12 open)65% (34 of 52 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)28% (won 12% of 436)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)10% (won 38% of 160)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 75% of 225)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)47% (won 97% of 716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpl..messiprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Bears $9.9KBuccaneers $4.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $12KUnder $2.4K
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.4K——Yes $94
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Penguins $14——Ducks $1.5K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $58K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $11K——Heat $30K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $7.5KBuccaneers $15K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $845
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4K——Yes $3.2K
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $6.0K——No $159
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.7K——Over $1.0K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Over $2.8K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $89Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $927——Over $758
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $831——Under $3
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370——Giles Hussey $24
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $273——Yes $11
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4——No $26