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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppollo07RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)28% (449–1170, n=1619)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$43K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #65PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus76% (255 of 334 open)100% (22 of 22 open)54% (82 of 153 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −1 pts, n=230—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%47% of 696 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)47% (won 3% of 329)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)5% (won 49% of 37)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)5% (won 52% of 33)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)43% (won 95% of 297)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

65 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppollo07RN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14K—Under $19—
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $9.9K—Yes $3.2K—
POT Iraklis vs. Panathinaikos Athens: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.0K—Over $418—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $723—No $5.3K—
Will AIK win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $981—
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
AIK $5.2K—BK Hacken $1—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $4.9K—Elias Ymer $210—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K—Under $2.3K—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1—
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.2K—Yes $128—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $845—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $461—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $5—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K—Under $14—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—No $1.4K—
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K—No $336—
Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K—Under $267—
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K—Under $73—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $411—
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $5—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $6—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $1.1K—
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $38—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26—No $612—
Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $438—Yes $2—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $69—No $263—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89—Yes $30—
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $37—PSV $67—
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $86—Over $1—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24—Yes $51—
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19—Yes $12—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $56K—No $24K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—Yes $10K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $52K—No $4.8K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $37K—No $13K—
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
Justin Boulais $3.6K—Justin Boulais $33K—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $23K—No $8.7K—
Orleans: Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
Hugo Grenier $4.6K—Hugo Grenier $25K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $20K—Over $5.4K—
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $8.6K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.7K—Yes $6.1K—