Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	SnapElectionAvoider	beachboy4	CORGII	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	52% (905–844, n=1749)	68% (43–20, n=63)	62% (393–246, n=639)	45% (537–647, n=1184)
Consensus PnL	$207K	$5.8M	$4.5M	$10.6M
Tracked as	was PM monthly #391 + pinned	was PM monthly #24	PM monthly #68	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	68% (80 of 118 open)	100% (1 of 1 open)	33% (1 of 3 open)	73% (78 of 107 open)
Strongest topics	Finance +14 pts n=55, ROI +5% Elections +3 pts n=873, ROI +2% Economy +7 pts n=100, ROI +11%	NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19% Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%	Esports +54 pts n=287, ROI +56% Tennis +49 pts n=48, ROI +52% Soccer +48 pts n=64, ROI +50%	NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	Crypto −26 pts, n=16	NBA −6 pts, n=92	—	—
Settled positions, side won	53% of 1671 at avg 48¢, ROI +2%	57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%	98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%	98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	42% (won 14% of 706)	3% (won 17% of 6)	9% (won 92% of 36)	10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢	10% (won 45% of 162)	29% (won 56% of 62)	56% (won 99% of 223)	36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢	11% (won 69% of 177)	54% (won 51% of 115)	33% (won 100% of 133)	35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up	37% (won 94% of 626)	14% (won 86% of 29)	2% (won 100% of 7)	20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	SnapElectionAvoider	beachboy4	CORGII	BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $972	—	—	Yes $55K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $395	—	—	Yes $26K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1.4K	—	—	Yes $24K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $340	—	—	Yes $19K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $757	—	—	Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $188	—	—	Yes $18K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $23	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $400	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $351	—	—	Yes $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $345	—	—	Yes $15K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $334	—	—	Yes $14K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus No	Yes $644	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $127	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $36	—	—	Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $133	—	—	Yes $12K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $585	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $339	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $160	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $1	—	—	Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No	Yes $394	—	—	Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $290	—	—	Yes $8.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $553	—	—	Yes $7.9K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $324	—	—	Yes $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $271	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $185	—	—	Yes $6.4K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2.0K	Yes $4.1K	—	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No	Yes $190	—	—	Yes $5.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $308	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $326	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $277	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $275	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $215	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $208	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $183	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $230	—	—	Yes $3.6K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $81	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $66	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $422	—	—	Yes $120
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus No	Yes $306	—	—	Yes $65
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus No	Yes $12	—	—	Yes $34