← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| balthazar | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (9273–8029, n=17302) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (147 of 247 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 14708 at avg 60¢, ROI +14% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 20% of 4153) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 82% of 941) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 96% of 2101) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 99% of 7513) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.