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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (450–448, n=898)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$340K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #231PM monthly #10PM monthly #56PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (10 of 16 open)76% (187 of 247 open)68% (13 of 19 open)55% (65 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=159Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 331)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 51% of 375)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 79% of 81)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $5.7KCommanders $221Commanders $221Rams $66
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $165Lions $47KLions $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $190Colts $5.1KCowboys $1.4K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $39K—No $20K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $16K—Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $232
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $7
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $11K——Chiefs $867
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg
—1. FC Union Berlin $7.2K—SC Freiburg $3.0K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.8K—Yes $5.3K
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.0K—No $753
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $826—No $5.2K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Under $2.3K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
—Aston Villa FC $4.8K—Manchester United FC $12
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.8K—Yes $1
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $73Giants $4.2K
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.2K—Under $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4K—Yes $96
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $108
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
—Virginia Cavaliers $875—Arkansas Razorbacks $412
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Saints $784—Browns $88—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $440—Yes $18
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $370—Yes $28
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $10Rams $172
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $125K—No $96K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $64K—No $55K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $74K—Yes $14K
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
same side · consensus Como 1907
FC Internazionale Milano $28K——FC Internazionale Milano $38K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $54K—No $4.8K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.1KChiefs $49K—
Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $24K—No $12K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $8.7K
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
—Manchester United FC $21K—Manchester United FC $3.1K
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
—Aston Villa FC $19K—Aston Villa FC $1.1K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17K—Under $402
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12K—Over $4.3K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $12K——Rams $1.5K