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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpLimousin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)51% (1007–950, n=1957)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$3.3M$55K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #322
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (23 of 34 open)72% (145 of 201 open)62% (23 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +46 pts n=88, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=382, ROI +32%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=28, ROI +32%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 535 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 100% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)16% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)56% (won 100% of 298)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpLimousin
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $615Over $5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $593No $2
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
——AC Sparta Praha $540AFC Bournemouth $5
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $329Over $25
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $155
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
——Justina Mikulskyte $2Tiphanie Lemaitre $87
Machida Zelvia vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $64Yes $8
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.6KNo $418
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $729
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
——Taylor Fritz $519Taylor Fritz $610
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $759No $4
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $194Over $149
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $269Over $4
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $125No $32
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7Over $137
Will UD Logroñés win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $52No $58
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $84No $3
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
——AC Milan $78AC Milan $4
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $49Over $27
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Qairat FK
——Atalanta BC $28Atalanta BC $7
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $5Renata Zarazua $10
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9Under $5
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Sociedad de Fútbol
——Real Sociedad de Fútbol $2Real Sociedad de Fútbol $7