Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	denizz	ndb1	pleaseletmealone	RememberAmalek
Record (consensus markets)	57% (34–26, n=60)	52% (102–94, n=196)	no settled market	70% (143–62, n=205)
Consensus PnL	$1.1M	$2.7M	$1.3K	$494K
Tracked as	PM monthly #162	PM monthly #111	PM monthly #432	PM monthly #149
Sides with the consensus	85% (23 of 27 open)	74% (66 of 89 open)	79% (146 of 185 open)	54% (83 of 154 open)
Strongest topics	not computed yet	not computed yet	not computed yet	not computed yet
Weakest topic	—	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	—	—	—	—
Entries under 30¢	—	—	—	—
Entries 30–50¢	—	—	—	—
Entries 50–70¢	—	—	—	—
Entries 70¢ and up	—	—	—	—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	denizz	ndb1	pleaseletmealone	RememberAmalek
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? opposite sides · consensus No	No $40K	—	—	Yes $549
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	Yes $32K	—	—	No $6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $211	No $15K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	No $12K	—	—	Yes $115
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No	—	—	Yes $527	No $3.1K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10K	—	—	Yes $1.6K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes	—	Yes $12K	Yes $212	—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $314	Yes $7.5K
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $26	Yes $6.9K
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? same side · consensus No	No $1.7K	—	—	No $4.8K
Iran leadership change by December 31? same side · consensus No	No $5.1K	—	—	No $1.1K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $30	Yes $5.0K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $1.1K	Yes $598
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $230	Yes $77
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $116	Yes $189
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $142	Yes $56
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $95	Yes $32
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $80	Yes $27
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $59	Yes $20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $49	Yes $25
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $53	Yes $18
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $47	Yes $16
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $32	Yes $11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $32	Yes $11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $29	Yes $10
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $21	Yes $11
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $15	Yes $8
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $17	Yes $6
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $17	Yes $6
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $14	Yes $5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $11	Yes $4
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $11	Yes $4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $5	Yes $2
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $5	Yes $2
Will Person AK win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $5	Yes $2
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $5	Yes $2
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $3	Yes $1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes	—	—	Yes $3	Yes $1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? same side · consensus No	—	—	Yes $2	Yes $2