Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	00gringo00	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay	VictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)	75% (6–2, n=8)	45% (547–663, n=1210)	71% (10–4, n=14)	54% (4634–3878, n=8512)
Consensus PnL	$3.5M	$11.0M	$4.4M	$154K
Tracked as	was PM monthly #19	PM monthly #1	was PM monthly #11	PM monthly #173
Sides with the consensus	no open consensus position	51% (58 of 113 open)	no open consensus position	70% (183 of 260 open)
Strongest topics	none with 10+ settled	NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47% Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%	none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic	—	—	—	Elections −1 pts, n=1079
Settled positions, side won	86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%	97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%	67% of 4851 at avg 68¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢	0%	10% (won 81% of 57)	0%	27% (won 2% of 1290)
Entries 30–50¢	0%	36% (won 98% of 201)	50% (won 100% of 5)	4% (won 35% of 183)
Entries 50–70¢	100% (won 86% of 7)	35% (won 99% of 196)	50% (won 100% of 5)	5% (won 59% of 227)
Entries 70¢ and up	0%	19% (won 100% of 109)	0%	65% (won 97% of 3151)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	00gringo00	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay	VictorLudorum
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $287K	—	No $125
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $236K	—	No $1.2K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $88K	—	No $36
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $77K	—	No $223
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $66K	—	No $222
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $54K	—	No $211
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $50K	—	No $225
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $43K	—	No $7.2K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $40K	—	No $221
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $38K	—	No $225
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $38K	—	No $223
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $36K	—	No $144
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $34K	—	No $223
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $30K	—	No $853
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $29K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $28K	—	No $224
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $25K	—	No $225
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $7.8K	—	No $14K
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $21K	—	No $57
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $20K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $18K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $18K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $18K	—	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $16K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $16K	—	No $225
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $418	—	No $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $15K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $14K	—	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $14K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $12K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $8.5K	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $4.3K	—	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $4.3K	—	No $227
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $3.6K	—	No $853
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $4.2K	—	No $75
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $4.1K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $3.6K	—	No $222
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.4K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.0K	—	No $225
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.0K	—	No $227
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.1K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	Yes $2.1K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.1K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.1K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2.0K	—	No $22
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $1.9K	—	No $22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $282	—	No $351
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $11	—	No $226
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? opposite sides · consensus No	—	Yes $2	—	No $226
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No	—	No $1.6M	—	No $99