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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Add:RN1joseph00677sainttroplayndb100gringo00primm
Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)39% (1383–2127, n=3510)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$50K$11.0M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #161PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus60% (243 of 404 open)86% (134 of 156 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Economy +8 pts n=32, ROI −19%
  • F1 +7 pts n=10, ROI −3%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −3 pts, n=358—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won38% of 1384 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 3% of 385)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 43% of 743)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 52% of 105)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 95% of 151)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

89 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.1KNo $902K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $427No $407K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.3KYes $274K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3KYes $172K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115No $119K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $826Yes $52K—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $22K—
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $21K—
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $18K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.1KYes $15K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $12K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $6.8K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $106No $8.8K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $6.4K—
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6KYes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $5.0K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7KYes $3.6K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $3.6K—
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.1KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.0KYes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $899Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $872Yes $2.1K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9KYes $547—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1KYes $402—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $697Yes $265—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $850Yes $68—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $326Yes $313—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $177Yes $85K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $238Yes $83K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1KYes $45K—
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $483Yes $38K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $166Yes $31K—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $98Yes $31K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $802No $30K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $108Yes $28K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $264Yes $28K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $693No $25K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $155Yes $20K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $120Yes $20K—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $168Yes $16K—