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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$7.7M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)71% (42 of 59 open)74% (163 of 220 open)55% (87 of 158 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.5K76ers $79776ers $371
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $110KNo $1.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $23K—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $30KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $1.5K
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.2KNo $2.4K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $4.0K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
——Racing Club de Lens $5.6KOlympique de Marseille $3
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.3KYes $103
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KUnder $509
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
——FC Schalke 04 $2.6KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
——Virginia Cavaliers $1.7KArkansas Razorbacks $347
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
——Brown Bears $299Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.4KNo $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
——Arkansas Razorbacks $231Virginia Cavaliers $564
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $635Over $18
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
——Arkansas Razorbacks $349Virginia Cavaliers $2
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $334Under $7
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $286No $10
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $158Under $95
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $241Yes $3
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
——Arkansas Razorbacks $6Virginia Cavaliers $49
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $32KColts $63—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $17KNo $14K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $17KUnder $8.7K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $16KUnder $7.6K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13K—Rams $5.8K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7.1KOver $10K
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $8.5KNo $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
——CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $3.2K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.5KNo $5.9K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.7KNo $2.3K