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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (4207–1587, n=5794) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $459K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (101 of 152 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (98 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 74% of 285) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 1965) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 1803) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 1217) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AnonymousUsername | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $19K | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $30K | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.7K | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $8.8K | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $676 | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $3.6K | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $755 | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $25K | Bills $378K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.8K | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.0K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $218 | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | — | — | No $15K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $1.8K | — | — | Titans $8 |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $6 | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $123 | Browns $297K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $173 | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $621 | Bills $51K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $16K | — | — | Falcons $1.8K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $4.7K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.8K | — | — | No $5.5K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.1K | — | — | Under $5.9K |
| Titans vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $8.3K | — | — | Titans $658 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.8K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $5.9K | — | — | Under $76 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $784 | — | Yes $4.2K | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.9K | — | — | Over $718 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2.9K | — | — | Magic $223 |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $54 | — | — | Toulouse FC $1.8K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $648 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars same side · consensus Jaguars | Colts $995 | — | — | Colts $116 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $344 | — | — | Over $526 |