← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 75% (189 of 252 open) | 57% (87 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $129K | No $15K |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $37K | Over $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7.8K | Over $5 |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $621 | Under $7.2K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.2K | No $198 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $146 | Cowboys $4.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | Under $617 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Over $6 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K | Arkansas Razorbacks $347 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $197 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.3K |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $21 |
| Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Getafe CF | — | Getafe CF $554 | Villarreal CF $730 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.1K | No $2 |
| Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $557 | Yes $554 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $265 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $843 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04 | — | FC Schalke 04 $542 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $493 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $691 | Under $30 |
| Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $552 | Over $18 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | Under $7 |
| Exact Score: Villarreal CF 0 - 1 Getafe CF? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $78 | No $250 |
| CD Ñublense vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $225 | Under $2 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $10 | Virginia Cavaliers $48 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $28 | Virginia Cavaliers $2 |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee | — | Jordan Lee $3 | Andres Martin $14 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $76K | No $4.7K |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $41K | No $16K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | No $14K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $21K | No $9.3K |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $24K | Under $547 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $2.0K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante | — | Thiago Agustin Tirante $1.5K | Thiago Agustin Tirante $17K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $6.9K | Over $10K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $3.1K |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.5K | No $5.9K |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $47 |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.4K | No $3.2K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9.6K | Yes $428 |
| Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.7K | Under $4.3K |
| Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.3K | No $2.9K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $4.4K | CD Cobresal $3.5K |