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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 73% (159 of 219 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 57% (83 of 145 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $63 | — | Cowboys $4.9K |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens | — | Racing Club de Lens $4.2K | — | Olympique de Marseille $3 |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.9K | — | Yes $122 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04 | — | FC Schalke 04 $2.2K | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.5K | — | No $44 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $347 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Brown Bears $299 | — | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K |
| FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | — | No $2 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $231 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $564 |
| Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $618 | — | Over $18 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $349 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $2 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $334 | — | Under $7 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks | — | Arkansas Razorbacks $6 | — | Virginia Cavaliers $49 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $76K | — | No $4.7K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | — | No $14K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $7.9K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $7.1K | — | Over $10K |
| Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $8.5K | — | No $8.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | — | CD Cobresal $10K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.5K | — | No $5.9K |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $926 | — | — | Eagles $8.7K |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $8.2K | — | Yes $360 |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.9K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | No $1.7K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | — | No $2.9K |
| Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Over $3.5K |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.8K | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $934 | — | No $4.3K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $1.4K |
| Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.6K | — | No $366 |
| Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Andres Martin | — | Andres Martin $2.4K | — | Andres Martin $19 |
| Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints same side · consensus Siena Saints | — | Siena Saints $1.5K | — | Siena Saints $920 |
| Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Under $28 |
| Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.0K | — | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | — | Yes $234 |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $311 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos same side · consensus Boise State Broncos | — | Boise State Broncos $1.2K | — | Boise State Broncos $436 |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $814 | — | 76ers $371 |
| Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $771 | — | No $296 |