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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)52% (5376–4942, n=10318)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$607K$3.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #67PM monthly #21PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)59% (87 of 148 open)67% (127 of 190 open)58% (48 of 83 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $18K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0KNo $15K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.3KNo $4.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $5.2K
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $218
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $420Under $762
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $720Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $495Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $274Under $82
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $111Yes $3
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $51Under $12
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $14K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $21KYes $1.9K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $16K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $3.2KClippers $5.8K—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.9KUnder $2.0K—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KUnder $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $1.2K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.1KYes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $311Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $705Over $5
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14Yes $175
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $132Yes $34——
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $61