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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)no settled market50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus66% (25 of 38 open)68% (136 of 199 open)no open consensus position64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)—7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)—20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)—22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)—51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaUpTheBlues
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $762
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $559—Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $495—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $117—No $288
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $191—Yes $2
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $94—Yes $3
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $44—Yes $47
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $57—Under $4
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $46—Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $503—No $16K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9K—No $3.6K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—Yes $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $639—Under $2.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $927—Under $2.2K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $1.5K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $945
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $749—Yes $273
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $163—Under $741
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $304—Under $402
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $666—Over $5
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $206—CD Pamplona $10