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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)62% (157–98, n=255)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$47K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10was PM monthly #693PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (38 of 49 open)74% (150 of 204 open)no open consensus position58% (56 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 232 at avg 62¢, ROI +9%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)14% (won 55% of 33)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)56% (won 74% of 131)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)29% (won 74% of 68)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpisco22RN1
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $170—Cowboys $1.6K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $179K——Eagles $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $166K——Cowboys $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $93K——Cowboys $1.1K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $65K——Eagles $5.8K
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Como 1907
—Como 1907 $29K—FC Internazionale Milano $42K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $22K——Cowboys $127
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $826—No $5.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.7K—Under $45
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $845—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $165—Lions $2.0K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $81
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $573—Yes $19
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $221—Rams $52
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $20—Yes $1
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $107K——Giants $3.3K
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $76K—Yes $13K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40K—No $21K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $52K—No $4.8K
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40K—No $3.2K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $17K—No $8.7K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $1.1K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $19K——Rams $1.8K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19K—Under $402
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $5.8K
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.1K—No $1.5K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5K—No $176
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $1.7K—Justin Boulais $5.5K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.0K—Over $250
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jaume Munar
same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante
—Jaume Munar $648—Jaume Munar $5.4K
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $2.9K—Filip Jeff Planinsek $3.1K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.0K—Yes $1.8K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.7K—Yes $1.4K
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $285
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $2.0K—Sønderjyske Fodbold $19
Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $16
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $806—Under $813
Villarreal CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $112
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Under $20
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44