← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 53% (2457–2181, n=4638) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $16K | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 59% (54 of 92 open) | 63% (124 of 196 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 2% (won 95% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 32% (won 98% of 321) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 51% (won 98% of 507) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 14% (won 98% of 138) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | — | Arthur Fils $3 | Taylor Fritz $29K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | Daniel Milavsky $9 | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $13 | Over $2.6K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $758 | Yes $130 |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11 | — | Yes $775 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | Over $289 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $10 | Yes $200 | — |
| Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $18 | Under $145 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3 | Under $160 | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $65 | Over $38 | — |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $7 | Under $52 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $21 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | SD Eibar $6 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8 | — | Yes $3 |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $253 | Yes $19K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $307 | — | No $15K |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz same side · consensus Carole Monnet | — | Carole Monnet $15 | Carole Monnet $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $10 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $8.2K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $493 | No $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $15 | No $1.9K | — |
| Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | No $554 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5) same side · consensus Kuopion PS | — | Kuopion PS $460 | Kuopion PS $4 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | Filip Misolic $9 | Filip Misolic $437 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $6 |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | No $80 | — |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $19 | Under $69 | — |