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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 68% (208–98, n=306) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.9M | -$105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (87 of 115 open) | 75% (76 of 102 open) | 69% (38 of 55 open) | 52% (187 of 363 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 91% of 186 at avg 70¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 11% (won 38% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 12% (won 91% of 23) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 12% (won 96% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 64% (won 99% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $346K | — | Yes $448 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $64K | — | No $24 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.5K | — | Over $106 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Kings $2.4K | — | Heat $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $2.0K | — | Kings $1.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $77 | — | No $2.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Pelicans $641 | — | Clippers $1.1K | — |
| Will Utah Utes Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $54 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $471 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Pelicans $17 | — | Clippers $712 | — |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $291 | — | No $414 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | — | No $11 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $50 | — | No $205 |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $4 | — | No $43 |
| Will the Denver Broncos make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $20 | — | Yes $22 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | Over $29 | — |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $6 | — | Yes $7 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $17K | — | Coco Gauff $58K | — |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $587 | — | Keisuke Saitoh $22K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann | Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-13.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $4.7K | — | Kings $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $3.3K | — | Kings $845 | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | Under $570 | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.8K | — | Under $587 | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Under $95 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.7K | — | Clippers $827 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $370 | — | Giles Hussey $24 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | No $4 | — | No $26 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $9 |